Facing Up To Financial Fears and Find Out Where You Stand:
I like Suze Orman. The reason I like Suze Orman is because she understands about how screwed up we are about money and is on a mission to get us to be less emotional about money. She knows that we confuse money with love, power, and self-worth. It is none of these things. It is a tool, pure and simple. It’s a no doubt useful tool, one that’s better to have than not to have, but it is no more and no less.
The fear we have about money leads people to look at houses in a serious way (by which I mean measuring for where the piano will go, deciding where to put the home office, and debating the school systems) without having talked to a mortgage broker or banker. I think about it like this: I love buying clothes. It would kill me to walk into a store loaded with beautiful clothes that I could not try on because I did not know my size. Wouldn’t you want to know your dress size before going to the greatest store in the world?
Take an hour to talk to a banker and find out what your buying power is before you started looking at houses? So what if your credit isn’t great? Find that out. Start to fix it. I understand window shopping. It’s fun and there’s nothing wrong with it. I’m not talking about those folks. I’m talking about people who sound like they really want to move soon, and are getting their hearts wrapped around properties they may not be anywhere close to being able to afford. I hate to see people get disappointed.
Six Month Emergency Fund:
Take care of yourself, people. Do this. Save some money. Have an emergency fund. Know your monthly expenses. A lovely woman asked me what would happen if a condo she was thinking of buying ever needed a major repair. She wanted to know if the Builder would cover it, even if it was five or ten years from today. Well, a good real estate lawyer can give you the specifics on what is and what is not covered and for how long in a Condo, but I felt like this was a person who expected to be protected from any kind of repair at any time yet wanted to be a property owner. That is not realistic. I’ve generally used the rule of thumb that I can afford half of whatever a banker tells me I can, and I do have a six month emergency fund on top of that. Expect disasters, prepare for them, have a plan and chances are good you’ll never have one.
Timing the Real Estate Market
It’s true that prices have come down significantly since September of this year. I’m not trying to minimize that, but no one can time the Real Estate market. They can’t do it in the stock market either, so it probably comes down to your risk tolerance. Consider this: if you want to buy a property to live in, you are most likely planning on living in it for a minimum of two to four years, yes? And you need a place to live, right? Well, if you buy it and live in it for two years, and then sell it, and let’s say you make nothing. Not a cent. You bought it for $500,000 and you sell it for $500,000. You are out the commissions, closing costs, and possibly transfer taxes, etc., which frankly is not cool. But had you not bought you would have been paying rent. If you paid an average of $2200 a month in rent, you would have spent $52,800 in rent in two years. Instead, with the “you bought for $500,000 and sold two years later for $500,000; you are probably out somewhere around $25,000 in selling costs, but you saved quite a bit on your income taxes over the two years. All in all, you’re still ahead of where you would have been had you rented, plus you got to live in a property you owned.
Certainly, there are people who bought homes within the last two years and have seen their prices plummet due to foreclosures in their building and the general price erosion we’ve all had to deal with. There are people who’ve lost their homes because they lost their jobs. I feel really badly for those folks. It is horrible. But if you haven’t lost your job and can pay your mortgage, the fact that your market value today is down 15% to 20% is not that bad, because it is going to recover in time. This is San Francisco. Still only 7 square miles and not enough housing.
For a helpful summary of year-over-year pricing in San Francisco, broken out by Single Family Homes and Condos, and by District, go to this site:
http://rereport.com/sf/main.html
San Francisco Home Sales Drop in November
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Trends at a Glance
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(Single-family Homes)
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Nov 08
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Oct 08
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Nov 07
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Home Sales:
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139
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186
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178
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Median Price:
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$751,000
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$760,000
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$917,500
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Average Price:
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$1,013,688
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$936,487
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$1,246,948
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Sale/List Price Ratio:
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99.2%
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100.5%
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101.8%
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Days on Market:
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55
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53
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38
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(Lofts/Townhomes/TIC)
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|
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Nov 08
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Oct 08
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Nov 07
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Condo Sales:
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81
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195
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230
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Median Price:
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$696,000
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$729,000
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$745,750
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Average Price:
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$794,053
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$813,820
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$886,607
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Sale/List Price Ratio:
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98.8%
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99.4%
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100.3%
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Days on Market:
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56
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57
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50
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Sales of single-family, re-sale homes dropped 21.9% compared to last November. Year-to-date, home sales are down 6.8%.
The median price for single-family, re-sale homes fell 1.2% from October, and it was down 18.1% year-over-year. The average price rose 8.2% from October, but was off 18.7% compared to last November.
Loft/condo sales plummeted 58.5% from October, and were off 64.8% compared to November 2007. The 81 loft/condo sales recorded in November were the lowest number of sales since we’ve been keeping track: January 2000. Year-to-date, loft/condo sales are off 26%.
The median price for loft/condos in San Francisco fell 4.5% from October, and was down 6.7% year-over-year. The average price for condos dropped 2.4% from October. The average price was down 10.4% year-over-year.
I’ve been looking for a 25 year trend information for the San Francisco Market but have not found it thus far. I’ll post it when I find it.
Other Useful Agent Stuff You Should Know:
If this is too elementary, than apologies offered, but I’ve had very intelligent people ask me about this and realized there’s a lot of confusion out there. Real Estate agents, whether we work for Zephyr, or Coldwell Banker, or any other agency, are not employees. We are independent business people. We do not get paid a cent unless someone engages us to represent them in the purchase or sale of a home. Two agents who both “work” for Zephyr are actually two independent business people who can negotiate with one another in exactly the same way we would negotiate with an agent from another Real Estate Company. Thus, if I hold an Open House for another Zephyr Agent, I am not the listing agent; I am an agent who is trying to meet unrepresented buyers who may need representation. If I work with you, my fiduciary, legal, and ethical duty is to protect and serve your financial interests first and foremost. I absolutely can present your offer to another Zephyr agent. The same holds true for any two agents working for the same company representing buyer and seller in a transaction.